The current CRAB market sentiment is marginally improving, with investors tentatively returning, but trading volume has not significantly expanded. In the short term, price is expected to oscillate between key support levels (suggested to pay attention to recent lows) and resistance levels (historical moving averages or the upper edge of the range). Only if prices break upward with increased volume and on-chain activity rises concurrently can a medium- to long-term uptrend be confirmed. Strategy recommendation: remain cautious in the short term or engage in light position swing trading; avoid blindly chasing prices driven by sentiment; closely monitor changes in trading and on-chain data, and dynamically adjust positions and risk exposure.

Latest on-chain monitoring shows that overall sentiment indicators for crypto assets are gradually rising from previous low-level fluctuations, indicating marginal improvement in market risk appetite. Although there is a lack of sufficient trading volume to confirm a sustained bull market rhythm, this recent uptick signals that investors are tentatively entering the market after prior hesitation, which helps to alleviate short-term selling pressure in CRAB.

Against the backdrop of gradually warming bullish sentiment, traders tend to enter with small positions after price levels are confirmed, seeking short-term returns. This typical 'probe-pullback-reprobe' swing trading logic may result in frequent oscillations in CRAB at key levels. Probing of both upstream resistance and downstream support will become the focus in the short term. If increased price movement is not accompanied by a significant rise in trading volume, sentiment-driven rallies may be hard to sustain.

To shift the market from sentiment-driven growth to true value support, both trading volume and on-chain activity must rise concurrently. For CRAB, only when price effectively regains and holds above major moving averages or the upper edge of the range, coupled with overall heightened on-chain interaction, can a more reliable upward trend be established. Investors should continue to monitor subsequent data and be wary of risks from chasing highs due to sentiment reversals.

CRAB

Key Events This Week Could Shake Bitcoin and Crypto Markets

US consumer inflation expected to have increased further in April amid Iran war

Bank of Japan rate-hike pressure grows as oil shock puts Bitcoin at risk

The Bank of Japan signaled the possibility of a hike to its benchmark rate next month with a summary of views from last month’s board meeting that conveyed concerns over upside inflation risks stemming from the conflict in the Middle East.

Bitcoin Faces Its Biggest Macro Test of the Year as Fed Chair Uncertainty Collides With Inflation Fears

BOJ debated near-term rate hike at April meeting, opening door to June move

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.7%, while the probability of a rate cut in July is 5.4%.

Tuesday’s CPI report will be a “spicier” set of figures, the first in a series of readings this week that will feed into the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, according to Morgan Stanley’s global head of macro strategy.

Goldman Sachs & Co and Bank of America Corp are the latest in a growing cohort of Wall Street banks pushing back their forecasts for interest-rate cuts.

Senate advances Kevin Warsh nomination for Fed Chair, Powell exit unlikely by May

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