SIRIUS is currently benefiting from improved market liquidity and the convergence of overall volatility in major coins, with potential for volatility expansion and increased activity. In the short term, there is momentum for both volume and price to rise. However, given the high-leverage structure of the derivatives market, risk appetite is easily affected by reversals in market sentiment. If mainstream assets such as BTC/ETH experience sharp volatility, SIRIUS could face concentrated liquidation pressure. From a technical perspective, close attention should be paid to its key support levels (refer to the short-term support at 0.415 and the critical high-volume trading zone at 0.375-0.385). Should major coin indicators reverse and boost risk appetite, SIRIUS may have staged upward momentum, but it is important to strictly guard against false breakouts and pullback risks. It is recommended to adjust positions dynamically in response to changes in volume, control downside risk, and prioritize follow-up opportunities after the trend of major coins is confirmed.

Data from 10x Research shows that the volatility of major assets continues to contract, with implied volatility indicators leveling off, while derivatives open interest remains high. This reflects a more cautious short-term market sentiment but not a significant rise in risk aversion. For SIRIUS, the overall improvement in market liquidity is expected to support its trading activity, with opportunities for volatility expansion and increased trading volume in the short term.

Currently, high leverage in the derivatives segment suggests that market participants still have a strong risk appetite. However, if market sentiment reverses quickly or faces unexpected negative events, it may trigger concentrated liquidations and closing positions. As one of the active altcoins, SIRIUS could be significantly impacted during sharp volatility in major assets, so it is crucial to closely monitor the strength of its major support levels as well as the liquidation risks from concentrated positions.

The RSI and stochastic indicators of Bitcoin and Ethereum are already in relatively low ranges. If these indicators confirm a bottom reversal and trigger a bullish resonance, major assets may rally, leading to a general rise in altcoins. In this context, SIRIUS could attract short-term speculative capital; however, it is still necessary to watch for volume confirmation at key price levels and the strength of breakouts, remaining alert to potential false breakouts followed by pullbacks.

first reply

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