FLIP is currently in an accumulation phase within the 0.195–0.202 USDT range, with shrinking trading volume and incomplete market risk appetite recovery. Its overall trend is constrained by the direction of major cryptocurrencies. If there is a volume breakout above 0.214 USDT and price holds steady, it will open up further upside, with a short-term target of 0.227 USDT; otherwise, it will maintain range-bound fluctuations. Given the high short-selling fee rate and increased volatility, it is recommended to use a price and volume breakout as an entry signal, strictly enforce a stop-loss below 0.200 USDT, and be wary of the risk transfer from major market corrections.

From the monthly daily chart perspective, FLIP has been consolidating in the 0.195–0.202 USDT range for nearly three weeks, with trading volume gradually declining, reflecting intensified long-short stalemate sentiment. On April 28, FLIP saw a surge in volume and price, reaching a high of 0.2142 USDT before pulling back to 0.2031 USDT. Short-term buying interest is active but faces resistance at the 0.214–0.227 USDT range overhead. Technically, if the price can hold above the 0.200 USDT support with increasing volume and break above 0.214 USDT, a rebound may continue; otherwise, it will revert back to range trading.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

The Bitcoin short-term holder discount rate has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, and the STH-SOPR 7-day moving average is back above 1, indicating that short-term selling at a loss has eased significantly and market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. However, major cryptocurrencies have not yet broken above their cost bases, risk appetite has not fully recovered, and the overall environment means small and mid-cap tokens are likely to remain range-bound in the short term. Attention should be paid to the risk of downside transmission from major coins to FLIP.

ChainCatcher reports that Bitcoin short-term holders' discount has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, with the STH-SOPR 7-day average rising above 1, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly at a loss. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, suggesting the market has not yet entered a true risk-on phase.

Data: Analysis: Short-term Bitcoin holders' discount narrows, market warms up but risk appetite has not yet started.

There is currently a pronounced polarization between bulls and bears in the crypto market, with frequent key level tests among mainstream coins and accelerated style rotation. Against this backdrop, FLIP's short-term volatility is expected to further increase. If the price breaks out above the 0.214–0.227 USDT range, a new wave of momentum chasing may unfold; conversely, a rejection and pullback may accelerate long exits and deepen downward pressure. Traders should closely monitor the success or failure of both sides at key resistance levels to grasp short-term trading rhythms.

This week, the crypto market remains volatile with intensified disagreements between bulls and bears, making directional choices urgent. HYPE's ability to break $43.17 and challenge $45.76 is key to continuing its daily wave V structure. BTC faces a critical test at $79,500–$80,600; a breakthrough could signal a trend change, while resistance may lead to a pullback. Clear structural analysis and disciplined execution are essential amid risks and opportunities.

Two key battles are underway simultaneously, and the choice of direction for BTC and HYPE is imminent.

Although institutions and whales remain strongly bullish, the high 19% short-selling fee rate suggests that the market has not fully ruled out a correction. With major cryptocurrencies in accumulation and a large number of short positions coexisting, a short squeeze could quickly shift the overall market from bearish to bullish, triggering a small-scale rebound for FLIP and other altcoins in the short term. Trading strategies should strictly set stop-loss levels to guard against sudden withdrawals in a high-volatility environment.

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