HEGE's recent price performance has been driven by a rebound in market sentiment and a tug-of-war among whale-sized long positions. Although short-term trends have shown signs of stabilizing, trading enthusiasm still requires further data verification. Large holders' positions are becoming more convergent, and short-term volatility has intensified; strong defense is recommended at the key support range of $2.85–$3.20. Eased macro liquidity and rising demand for digital assets form the basis for medium- to long-term upward momentum, and institutional funds may continue to increase their stakes. Strategy-wise, a medium- to long-term perspective is advised, with phased entries during pullbacks, focusing on project governance and ecosystem catalyst events, and strictly implementing position and risk management to avoid chasing highs or panic selling during dips.

Recent on-chain and derivatives data indicate improving sentiment in the overall crypto market, although more sample data is needed for thorough validation. This stage often brings emotional traps—market participants become overly optimistic during initial stabilization, but if subsequent data fails to confirm the trend, short-term volatility risks remain. Thus, traders should monitor trading volumes and position changes, use longer-period moving averages or breakout confirmations to verify trend continuation, and avoid chasing rebounds prematurely to prevent both psychological and financial stress.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Since the beginning of the year, HEGE has gained over 13%, reaching recent highs, heavily influenced by a whale holding a long position worth nearly $36.44 million. The average price of this whale’s holdings is above the current market price; their unrealized loss narrowed from $20 million to $17 million but incurred over $1 million in funding fees over two months. The market is closely watching for liquidation or additional position moves, while the community remains wary of possible information advantages. Such large-holder behavior can amplify short-term price swings and may prompt rapid pullbacks if anticipated profits do not materialize. Traders should closely track this whale's margin calls and position reductions, managing risk at key support levels.

Since January 2, HYPE has gained over 13%, reaching a high of $27.4. The largest long whale on-chain, holding about $36.44 million with an average price of $38.6 and liquidation price at $20, has reduced its unrealized loss from $20 million to $17 million. This whale, the biggest long holder on Hyperliquid, opened a large position before Robinhood announced HYPE spot trading, leading to community suspicion of insider information.

HYPE has recently seen a significant increase, but the largest on-chain HYPE long position is still stuck with an unrealized loss of 17 million due to an average cost of $38.

Since January 2, HYPE has gained over 13%, reaching a high of $27.4. The largest long whale on-chain, holding about $36.44 million with an average price of $38.6, still faces a $17 million unrealized loss, down from $20 million. This whale, suspected of insider trading before HYPE's Robinhood listing, has incurred over $1 million in funding fee losses over two months.

From a macro and industry fundamentals perspective, veteran investors generally agree on the equal importance of value and trend. Global liquidity conditions currently favor loosening, with increasing allocation demands for emerging markets and digital assets, expected to provide sustained capital support for quality projects like HEGE. After short-term sentiment fluctuations, the medium to long term should see gradual realization as institutional investment expands and application scenarios come to fruition. For investors confident in the bull market thesis, phased entries during dips, combined with project governance or key ecosystem milestones, can improve cost efficiency and position management.

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