DOG's current long-short game is intensifying, with short interest rates remaining high and clear signs of accumulation. The market maintains a cautious attitude toward risk assets. Pay attention to the 0.00078–0.00080 support zone performance; if it stabilizes effectively and is accompanied by macro-positive factors, there is a short-term opportunity to challenge the 0.00085–0.00090 resistance level. If it breaks below 0.00078, beware of further pullback pressure. It is advisable to remain on the sidelines, focusing on allocation opportunities after policy signals and a turning point in mainstream sentiment.

The discount faced by Bitcoin short-term holders narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, and the 7-day average STH-SOPR returned above 1, indicating that short-term selling pressure has obviously eased. However, the price remains below the lower bound of the cost range and has not yet entered a true pre-risk aversion buying phase. DOG remains highly correlated with Bitcoin, and the rise in short-term wait-and-see sentiment is exerting some downward pressure on prices. Neither side has established a clear direction.

ChainCatcher reports that Bitcoin short-term holders' discount has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, with the STH-SOPR 7-day average rising above 1, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly at a loss. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, suggesting the market has not yet entered a true risk-on phase.

Data: Analysis: Short-term Bitcoin holders' discount narrows, market warms up but risk appetite has not yet started.

Market borrowing short rates have risen to a high level between 11% and 19%. At the same time, Bitcoin is in a large-scale accumulation phase. This tug-of-war between longs and shorts often leads to intense volatility and squeeze scenarios. In mid-April, DOG's trading volume surged along with major assets, followed by a price pullback that did not set new lows, suggesting a solid distribution of positions. If macro or sentiment factors trigger a rebound, DOG may be the first to recover to previous highs.

Global energy supply tightness, unstable strait passage, and policy uncertainties combine to restrain expectations of continued loose liquidity. The market as a whole remains cautious toward high-risk assets. Facing these macro variables, capital is adopting a wait-and-see stance; thus, digital assets may mainly experience consolidation in the short term, and DOG will find it difficult to outperform on its own. It is necessary to wait for clearer signals from macro policy and liquidity.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

Technically, DOG's previous high of 0.0009283 acts as strong resistance, while the 0.00078–0.00080 area has repeatedly provided support. The daily moving averages are flattening, and the MACD is consolidating near the zero line, indicating a lack of strong short-term trends. If the price holds above 0.00080, it may test the 0.00085–0.00090 resistance band. If it falls below 0.00078, the downside may extend to 0.00075 or even lower.

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