LUCKY is currently benefiting from the market sentiment recovery and capital rotation effect, possessing short-term momentum to test the key resistance range (reference: 0.048–0.052 USDT). It is recommended that investors combine mid-term moving averages and changes in trading volume, gradually deploy positions within the effective support range of 0.043–0.045 USDT, and strictly control the risk of chasing highs. As the trend signal is still in its early stage, position management should focus on buying on dips, dynamically track liquidity conditions and project ecosystem developments, flexibly adjust stop-losses, and optimize the risk-reward ratio.

Recently, signs of recovery have appeared in the crypto market, with multiple analysts and seasoned investors releasing optimistic signals, indicating that the selling pressure of the bear market is gradually being absorbed. Although K-line data has not yet been fully disclosed, public trading volume and volatility show that buying and selling volumes are converging, pullbacks are weakening, and market sentiment is warming up. In this environment, LUCKY, as a small- to mid-cap token, is likely to attract short-term capital favor in the market rotation, driving prices to test key resistance levels.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Based on the trend investing philosophy, buying opportunistically in bull markets and exiting cautiously in bear markets is a consensus among seasoned investors. LUCKY is currently in a consolidation phase with bulls and bears competing. Investors can monitor the alignment of mid-term moving averages and trading volumes, and build positions batch by batch near obvious support levels to avoid chasing highs. At the same time, value investors can consider the progress of the LUCKY project and its ecosystem development to evaluate the long-term holding value, leveraging trend signals as an aid to optimize position management.

The difficulties of market making in prediction markets show that severe volatility and event-driven one-sided moves pose significant challenges for liquidity providers. LUCKY traders should pay attention to order book depth and order structure, set reasonable stop-loss, take-profit points, and diversify entry and exit strategies to guard against sudden large orders causing price gaps. Moreover, if the project team plans to subsidize liquidity, sufficient positions should be reserved to cope with unexpected selling pressure and reduce inventory risk.

The article discusses the challenges of market making in prediction markets, highlighting that less than 10% survive until year-end. Unlike AMM-based markets, prediction markets rely on order book models with higher operational complexity, inventory risk, and volatile, jumpy price movements driven by discrete events. Successful market making requires advanced strategies and risk management, often beyond ordinary users' capabilities. Leading platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi invest heavily in liquidity subsidies, creating strong barriers for new entrants and reinforcing dominant players.

Prediction markets are tough: less than 10% may actually survive until the end of the year.

LUCKY

Safe-haven retreat + rising expectations of interest rate cuts, dollar bulls collectively retreat!

Eurozone: Stagflation risk builds after Iran conflict – Rabobank

USD: Stagflation Risk Supports Resilience – OCBC Bank

ECB: Limited case for renewed rate hikes – Commerzbank

Fed rate cut pushed back to late 2026 on war-related inflation risks

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at least once this year, supported by 71 economists.

Simkus: Cannot rule out the possibility of the European Central Bank raising interest rates this year.

USD: Recovery restrained as conflict risk seen low – DBS

On April 21, during a hearing in the U.S. Senate, current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was mentioned 10 times.

CICC Research Report: Walsh's statements at the hearing have shown a tendency to cut interest rates.

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