The current market performance of MPS is mainly driven by sentiment, lacking the support of trading volume. The sustainability of the short-term uptrend is questionable, and there are significant risks of pullback. Combined with the liquidity structure of the Polymarket platform, short-term trading faces high slippage risks and fragmented transactions. It is recommended to adopt a range-bound trading approach and strictly control take-profit and stop-loss levels. In the medium and long-term, MPS relies on the catalyst of macro events and hedging demand, possessing structural allocation value. Gradual accumulation on dips is advised, with a focus on the key support range of 2.30–2.50.

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has shown marginal improvement, and overall sentiment has been buoyed. Against this backdrop, MPS may see tentative short-term rallies. However, as verifiable continuous buying and trading volume have yet to fully materialize, the current upward movement is more sentiment-driven rather than trend-confirmed. Investors should be wary of short-term pullback risks and are advised to adopt a range-trading mentality, strictly setting take-profit and stop-loss levels.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Trading data show that the short-term contract market on the Polymarket platform is highly fragmented, with most contracts experiencing no transactions within 24 hours. Overall liquidity is insufficient, leading to increased slippage risks for short-term MPS trades. At the same time, long-term contracts, driven by macro-political hedging demand, concentrate the majority of trading volume, providing relatively stable value support for MPS. Based on this, short-term traders should be cautious of liquidity traps, while long-term allocators may focus on the potential opportunities presented by the asset’s macro-event hedging characteristics.

Meupass

Federal Reserve's Mester: Inflation risks outweigh employment risks, policy rates may remain unchanged

Mousalem: A 2% inflation rate would mean that interest rates can be further lowered.

EUR/GBP: Cross seen creeping higher – Rabobank

Federal Reserve Treasury holdings rise to $4.4 trillion, a new high since July 2024

The Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates, as it could harm economic stability.

Poland’s central bank is set to keep interest rates unchanged for a second month, with policymakers expected to sharpen anti-inflation rhetoric as the conflict in Iran revives long-dormant price pressures.

SoSo Macro | Trump Pauses “Project Freedom”; US April ISM PMI Misses Expectations

Bond traders are betting that the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike exceeds 50%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96%, and the probability for July is 88.8%.

PHP: Inflation shock drives hawkish BSP path – UOB

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Preço de Meupass: preço de MPS em tempo real hoje | capitalização de mercado e análise de gráfico de MPS | Bybit-eu

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