With the strong upward momentum of NEAR driven by Bitcoin, short-term market volatility expectations are increasing, influenced by the pullback of leading coins and ecosystem security events. Key support is at $1.34–$1.35; if this is lost, prices may test the $1.30 region. Fundamental support has been strengthened, with a declining inflation rate, a high lock-up ratio, and endogenous ecosystem growth laying a solid foundation for mid- to long-term value. Strategy recommendation: In the short term, consider opportunistically buying near the support zone combined with volume metrics. If prices stabilize and break out effectively above the $1.42–$1.44 range, mid-term swing opportunities to $3–4 and $5 can be considered; risk control should employ a stop-loss at $1.30.

Recently, Bitcoin's price has consecutively broken through the $74,000 level and approached the critical 'volatility release point' at $75,000, triggering a shift in market style from defensive to offensive. As one of the representative risk assets, NEAR's upward momentum has significantly strengthened along with the broad market during this period. However, if Bitcoin faces resistance at $75,000, short-term volatility could intensify. Overall, market expectations are still mainly dominated by the negative gamma effect in Bitcoin derivatives amplifying volatility and the absorption rhythm within the 'positive gamma zone,' both of which are closely related to NEAR’s short-term sentiment.

Bitcoin surged to $73,480 amid positive U.S. discussions, creating optimism for risk assets like $NEAR Coin. Analyst Michael Poppe highlights $NEAR’s potential to rise from $3–$4 to $5 or even $10, citing factors such as token inflation halving post-2025, high staking rates, strategic token burns, and revenue growth. Market shifts and reduced leverage in Bitcoin futures may further support $NEAR’s rally, with valuations possibly reaching $7–$10 within a year.

NEAR’s Upward Potential Shines in Dynamic Crypto Landscape

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

From a fundamental perspective, after halving its inflation rate at the end of 2025, NEAR’s annual inflation rate has dropped significantly. Coupled with a staking ratio of over 70% and the platform’s ongoing token burning strategy, the network value gains long-term support. In addition, growing transaction fee revenues and ecosystem incentive distributions at the application layer are expected to steadily enhance the intrinsic value of the token. Based on these structural positives, market analysts generally believe NEAR has the potential to climb from the mid- to short-term $3–4 range to $5 or even $10.

Recently, the Rhea Finance platform suffered an attack due to a slippage protection logic vulnerability, causing forced liquidation and extraction of multiple assets from the affected contract, with total losses amounting to around $18.4 million, including 1.564 million NEAR tokens. Although most USDC and NEAR assets have since been recovered and some USDT has been frozen, this incident has exposed auditing blind spots in multi-step transaction calculations within the ecosystem, causing a short-term negative impact on market confidence. The progress of contract suspension and bug fixes will also directly affect participants’ risk appetite.

Rhea Finance's post-attack review reveals losses of about $18.4 million, much higher than the initial $7.6 million estimate. The attacker used complex transactions and fake token pools to manipulate liquidity, causing margin liquidations and draining reserve funds. So far, around $11.2 million has been recovered or frozen, including returned USDC and NEAR assets and $4.34 million in frozen USDT with Tether's help.

Rhea Finance Attack Retrospective: Losses Expand to $18.40 million, Some Funds Recovered

From the daily chart, since early April, NEAR reached a high of $1.443 before continuously pulling back, closing at $1.344 on April 18, with trading volume declining significantly from its peak. Currently, the $1.34–$1.35 zone forms short-term support; if this is broken, there is a risk of filling the gap around $1.30. Resistance is concentrated at the $1.42–$1.44 recent highs—breaking this range with increasing volume could ignite a new bullish sentiment wave. Combined with whether or not Bitcoin breaks through the $75,000 level, the short-term price-volume structure will determine if NEAR’s ensuing trend extends or reverts to more volatility.

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Rhea Finance Discloses Cause of Attack: Slippage Protection Logic Flaw Leads to $18.40 Million Loss

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NEAR price today is 1.35, with a live price change of -3.90 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade NEAR on Bybit-eu.

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