Affected by Bitcoin's deep retracement, NOT, as a high-beta asset, is currently facing significant pressure, with short-term funding and risk appetite difficult to recover. Technically, the key support level of $0.000375 in late March was breached with high volume, intensifying short-term downward pressure. It is recommended to remain highly cautious in the short term, focusing on the effectiveness of the support at $0.0003411 and changes in the overall market volume structure. Only after confirmation of a bottom signal and recovery in risk appetite should batch entry for mid- to long-term positions be considered, prioritizing defense and prudent strategies.

According to recent data, every 10% retracement in Bitcoin adds approximately 80 days to the recovery period. Bitcoin has currently declined about 45% from its peak, suggesting the overall market may require roughly 300 days to regain momentum. This signal indicates that short-term improvements in funding and risk appetite are unlikely. As a high-beta asset, NOT is prone to selling pressure when risk appetite falls, further intensifying short-term downward pressure.

From late February to now, NOT first hit a high of $0.000423 on March 12, then pulled back. Since March 22, volatility increased, and on March 26, a bearish candle decisively broke the $0.000375 support. Subsequently, NOT continued to fall, closing at $0.0003473 on March 28—a cumulative decline of nearly 18%. Trading volume surged during the breakdown, indicating intensified selling pressure. In the short term, attention can be given to the strength of supports around the March 28 low of $0.0003411 and the March 4 low near $0.0003563.

Considering both news and technical factors, short-term sentiment favors caution, and the market may maintain wide-ranging downward volatility. NOT needs to await confirmation of a Bitcoin bottom signal and recovery in risk appetite. In the medium to long term, if Bitcoin enters a sideways bottoming phase, risk assets may regain allocation value. It is advised to only enter batch positions after confirming stable support at $0.0003411 and seeing improvements in volume structure.

Notcoin

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

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Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

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Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

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Market Edges Higher; Strong U.S. Jobs Data Complicates Rate Outlook

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Notcoin Price: NOT Live Price Today | NOT Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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