The O token market is showing signs of recovery, with sentiment and structure improving, though trading volume and open interest have yet to confirm an effective inflection point. The ongoing deleveraging in capital flows is supporting a mild rally led by spot trading. The Z-Score turning positive indicates an accumulation of optimistic expectations. The market has not entered a phase of high-leverage speculation, structural risks are converging, and the upward movement possesses a certain resilience. In the short term, caution is advised regarding divergence in momentum indicators and the effectiveness of breaking through key resistance levels. It is recommended to monitor changes in trading volume and open interest closely, adjust risk exposure flexibly, and capitalize on the medium-term allocation opportunities brought by structural recovery. The current price remains in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears; the effectiveness of breakouts and capital flow trends will be crucial for the future market direction.

After a prolonged period of market stagnation, sentiment indicators are showing early signs of improvement. Some trend indicators are starting to turn upward, and participant anxiety has eased somewhat. However, there is still a lack of sufficient trading volume and open interest data to confirm a reversal, so it is important to avoid drawing conclusions too soon. On the whole, long and short forces are still in a state of contention; it is advisable to focus on key changes in trading volume to verify whether sentiment can truly stabilize.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The Bitcoin market is smoothly transitioning from a deleveraging phase to moderate expansion, with the Z-Score indicator turning positive, reflecting growing optimism in capital flows. The current uptrend is mainly driven by spot demand, with only limited growth in leveraged positions, leading to an overall decrease in risk levels. Prices are steadily rising, while open interest (OI) is only climbing slowly, indicating that the market has not entered a state of excessive speculation. This structural uptrend is relatively resilient to pullbacks.

Although the structural health of the market has improved, risks of divergence in momentum indicators should be closely monitored. If the Z-Score or other momentum measures reverse sharply and prices fail to find solid support, a short-term correction may follow. Technically, whether key resistance levels are effectively breached, and the accompanying changes in trading volume and open interest, will determine the strength and continuation of the ensuing trend. Close attention to these signals is recommended to dynamically adjust positions and risk exposure.

Optim Finance

Kashkari: Previously thought inflation might decrease, but this year it is necessary to cut interest rates again.

Hamac: Inflation pressure is widespread, energy drives prices higher

Kashkari: The Federal Reserve should acknowledge the risks of raising interest rates due to uncertainties in the Strait of Hormuz.

Fed's Harker: Given the current economic outlook, the Fed's "clear easing bias" is no longer appropriate.

Bank of England: Active hold with June risks – Rabobank

If the White House uses dollar swap lines to bail out favored allies or attaches geopolitical strings to the loans, it will damage a backstop that has headed off disaster in the last two global crises, says @csmart (via @opinion)

The ECB’s rate decision this week provides more time to assess whether the Middle East crisis triggers prolonged inflation, Martin Kocher says.

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH risks decline as inflation rises

The ECB will need to increase interest rates in June if there isn’t a significant change in the outlook, says Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel

ECB Increasingly Likely to Hike in Near Future, Muller Says

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