Recently, the Q token rebounded driven by eased geopolitical risks and improved risk appetite, but faced unlocking pressure at the $0.0133 high and quickly pulled back on April 23. In the short term, a new unlocking of about 16.11 million Q tokens (worth $1.71 million) on May 2 will bring a supply shock, so caution is required regarding liquidity tightening and loosening of chips. Technically, $0.0095 is a key support; if broken, the price may test the $0.0084 area. On the upside, $0.0110–0.0114 is the primary resistance area, and a volume-backed breakout could retest $0.013. Given the high uncertainty from industry policies and macro variables, it is advisable to maintain position flexibility and pay attention to the progress of unlocking events and project fundamentals.

Recently, with progress toward a ceasefire in the Middle East and optimistic expectations for US-Iran nuclear talks, market risk aversion has eased significantly, boosting global risk assets. The Nasdaq has set record highs for several days, and continued capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have pushed BTC prices back above $74,000. Against this backdrop, the risk premium of small-cap contract assets has narrowed, and Q token has rallied rapidly since April 11, hitting a peak of $0.0119 on April 15, reflecting market enthusiasm for high-volatility assets during the recovery of risk appetite.

The Middle East ceasefire and US-Iran nuclear talks progress have eased geopolitical risks, pressuring oil prices and boosting global risk assets. The Nasdaq set a record 12-day winning streak, with tech and AI sectors attracting capital. Bitcoin rebounded above $74,000 amid steady ETF flows and balanced leverage liquidations. However, Democratic opposition delays Fed nominee Wash's hearing, increasing leadership uncertainty and market volatility risks.

Bitget UEX Daily Report | Hopes for Middle East Peace Rise, Nasdaq Hits Record 12 Consecutive Gains, Anthropic Releases New AI Model

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

According to on-chain data platforms, Q will unlock about 16.11 million new tokens at 00:00 UTC on May 2, equivalent to approximately $1.71 million. This expected additional supply has been partially priced in: after hitting a high of $0.0133 on April 22, Q tokens quickly retreated and closed at $0.00999 on April 23, indicating profit-taking and potential sell pressure ahead of the unlocking. This unlocking scale represents a significant proportion of current circulating supply, and the short-term supply shock cannot be ignored.

According to ChainCatcher and Web3 asset data platform RootData, Quack AI (Q) will unlock approximately 16.11 million tokens worth about 1.71 million USD at 00:00 on May 2, Beijing time.

RootData: Q will unlock tokens worth approximately $1.71M in one week.

From the perspective of daily technical structure, Q token has been oscillating in the $0.0095 to $0.0105 range for several days, forming a sideways bottoming pattern. Trading volume increases during price surges and contracts significantly during pullbacks, reflecting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The $0.0095 level is a key support; if lost, the price may fall back to the $0.0084–0.0085 range. On the upside, the $0.0110–0.0114 area forms the primary resistance; with increased volume and stability above this level, the price could extend to $0.012–0.013.

At the macro level, although the issues of crude oil supply shortages and the relief of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz alternate, DeFi security incidents and the advancement of policy bills (such as the CLARITY Act) remain uncertain. Rapid industry iteration and temporary changes in regulatory frameworks may aggravate market volatility. Investors, facing the dual events of token unlocking and sectoral shifts, should focus on project technological progress, compliance pathways, and the sustainability of secondary market liquidity.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

QuantumCoin

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%, while the probability of a rate cut in June is only 4.7%.

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