U Token is currently fluctuating within the 0.00064-0.00068 USDT range, mainly influenced by divergent sentiment in the overall Bitcoin market and macro liquidity factors. On-chain data show that recent spot net transactions have turned negative, indicating increased market hesitation. In the short term, bulls need substantial volume to break through 0.00067 USDT in order to open up further upside. Technically, 0.00064 USDT stands as a key support level; if it holds firmly and short-term profit-taking pressure eases, rebound momentum is expected to recover. Investors are advised to cautiously accumulate within the support zone, monitor changes in macro and regulatory variables, and guard against industry event shocks that may impact long-term value.

Recently, after Bitcoin broke through the $75,000 threshold, there has been a clear divergence between bullish and bearish views. On one hand, sustained accumulation by major whales has improved overall risk asset sentiment; on the other hand, tightening macro liquidity and increased selling pressure have made it difficult to sustain gains. U Token rebounded from a low of 0.0006006 USDT on April 2 to as high as 0.0007275 USDT on April 16, accompanied by increased trading volume. However, it encountered resistance and retreated near 0.00075 USDT, reflecting the tug-of-war between short-term bullish and bearish sentiment forces.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

Glassnode's latest report highlights intensified market tug-of-war with spot CVD turning negative, indicating increased selling pressure and emerging bearish sentiment. Futures show rising risk appetite but declining long funding rates, reflecting growing bearishness. Options suggest reduced downside protection demand and neutralizing volatility. Meanwhile, US spot ETFs see rising MVRV and inflows, boosting investor interest and supporting cautious optimism amid stable long-term holder confidence.

Glassnode: Market bullish and bearish struggles intensify, spot CVD turns negative indicating increased selling pressure, but ETF inflows provide support.

On-chain indicators show that spot net trading volume (CVD) has turned negative, reflecting elevated large-scale selling pressure. The cost of long positions in futures is decreasing, suggesting that while speculative risk appetite exists, it remains cautious. For U Tokens, the price has rapidly pulled back to 0.0006164 USDT since April 18, then fluctuated within the 0.00064-0.00068 USDT range, with trading volume retreating from previous highs. This indicates that capital inflows and outflows are becoming more cautious. Bulls need to break through key resistance in the short term to regain upward momentum.

The cost and profit/loss metrics for short-term holders have significantly improved, with the 7-day average SOPR climbing back above 1, signaling reduced short-term selling pressure. In recent days, U Token has found support multiple times in the 0.0006415-0.0006461 USDT region, and after a low-volume pullback, is demonstrating bottom confirmation characteristics. If this support is maintained and there is a volume-driven breakout above 0.00067 USDT, a short-term rebound could be reignited.

On the macro front, geopolitical tensions and constraints on physical energy supply add uncertainty to the market. In terms of industry policy, the advancement of regulatory bills and frequent DeFi security incidents both influence investors' risk assessments of emerging assets. U Token must closely monitor regulatory and security developments within the industry to solidify expectations for medium- and long-term value.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

United Stables

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%, while the probability of a rate cut in June is only 4.7%.

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The US Treasury market is focusing on the Federal Reserve meeting, with the probability of a rate cut by the end of the year rising to 40%.

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Trump evacuated from White House dinner amid US-Iran tensions

Biden highlights US blockade success against Iran, Strait of Hormuz traffic impacted

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