After withstanding a significant redemption shock recently, USDD’s liquidity recovered rapidly and price stability was maintained, demonstrating the resilience of its peg mechanism. At the macro level, global risk-aversion sentiment and capital are rotating between risk assets and stable assets, underpinning structurally strong demand for stablecoins. Fundamentally, USDD’s Q1 revenue and profit both grew considerably, cost control was effective, the treasury expanded by 77.9%, and internal risk management was upgraded. Overall, USDD’s price is likely to remain in the $0.98–$1.02 range in the near term. We recommend closely monitoring liquidity changes and treasury parameter adjustments. Short-term holding risks are manageable, while medium- and long-term positions offer a certain safety margin.

On April 12, USDD briefly depegged, dropping to $0.9719, accompanied by a high trading volume exceeding 600,000 USDT, indicating a surge of redemption demand that day. Subsequently, by replenishing appropriate assets into the peg pool, redemption capacity swiftly recovered, with liquidity restored to the $42 million level. The price immediately returned to a narrow range near $1, volatility dropped significantly, and the peg mechanism stood the test.

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin, the Tron-based decentralized stablecoin USDD withdrew 109 million USDT from the lending platform Spark one hour ago and then replenished USDD's PSM pool. Currently, USDD has $42 million available liquidity for USDT redemption, ensuring sufficient redeemable quota.

USDD withdrew 109 million USDT from Spark, then added it to the USDD PSM pool.

Recently, multiple factors have intertwined: The US dollar has strengthened amid geopolitical tensions and adjustments in US Treasury bond spreads, temporarily driving up demand for safe-haven assets; although Bitcoin rebounded above $75,000, perpetual contracts exhibited negative funding rates and positions showed cautious demand for options protection, signaling that the market has not fully abandoned a defensive stance. The tech sector reached new highs on revived risk appetite, but overall leverage remains restrained. Capital continues to shift between high-risk and safe-haven assets, with stablecoins playing a crucial role in anchoring liquidity and providing a buffer during these rotations.

Analyst Dilin Wu from Pepperstone states that the failure of US-Iran talks has entrenched uncertainty, causing a short-term strengthening of the US dollar alongside a slight decline in US Treasury yields. After the initial market reaction fades, Treasury yields may show complex movements, with short-term yields dipping due to risk aversion, while rising oil prices could push long-term yields higher by anchoring inflation expectations. Energy and defense sectors are expected to outperform, reflecting supply constraints and increased geopolitical risk premiums.

Analyst: Breakdown in US-Iran talks embeds uncertainty, US dollar to strengthen briefly

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

Tech stocks surged, driving the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to record highs amid optimism over easing US-Iran tensions. The Nasdaq rose 1.59% to 24,016.02, and the S&P 500 increased 0.8% to 7,022.95. Bitcoin briefly hit $75,229, up 1.07% in 24 hours and nearly 10% over two weeks. Fundstrat's Tom Lee suggests the next rally may be led by Bitcoin, Ether, and tech stocks.

Analysis: Tech stocks rally drives US stocks to new highs, Bitcoin hits $75,000

According to Coinglass data on April 16, Coinbase's Bitcoin premium index has been positive for 8 consecutive days, currently at 0.0401%, indicating a continued recovery in US market buying sentiment after 15 days of negative premium. The index measures the price difference of Bitcoin on Coinbase compared to the global average, reflecting US market capital flow, institutional interest, and market sentiment. Positive premium suggests strong US buying, active institutional participation, ample dollar liquidity, and optimistic investor sentiment.

Buying sentiment in the US market continues to improve, with the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index remaining positive for 8 consecutive days.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

USDD reported impressive first-quarter results, with revenue up 66.6% quarter-on-quarter and profit up 77.9%, while expenses were cut by more than half year-on-year and treasury balances climbed 77.9% quarter-on-quarter. Meanwhile, by forging strategic partnerships with leading wallets and exchanges and continually optimizing treasury parameters and capital efficiency, USDD has further strengthened its internal risk management framework, providing solid support for the stablecoin's long-term value and resilience.

USDD reported strong Q1 2026 results with revenue of $6.3 million, up 66.6% QoQ, and profit of $6.14 million, up 77.9% QoQ. Expenses dropped 51.6% to $160,000. The total treasury balance rose 77.9% QoQ to $13.91 million. Growth was driven by ecosystem expansion, partnerships with Binance Wallet, GateDEX, Bitget Wallet, and treasury parameter optimizations, enhancing capital efficiency and resilience while maintaining zero systemic risk.

USDD Q1 2026 Performance Shines: Cost Reduction and Efficiency Boost Accelerate Growth, Total Treasury Balance Rises to $13.91M

USDD

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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