OTK is currently in a critical consolidation range. Coupled with signs of improving risk appetite in the macro market, short-term bullish sentiment is being catalyzed for an upward move. Technically speaking, if OTK subsequently breaks above the upper limit of its consolidation box (2.15-2.18 range) with increased volume, there is potential for further upside, with the primary target at 2.40. However, if trading volume falls short, there is a risk of retesting support below (at 1.98). It is advised to closely monitor volume changes, position in line with the trend, and strictly control stop-loss levels.

Early January saw signs of improvement in industry on-chain data, with market risk appetite cautiously rising. Against this backdrop, OTK's short-term bullish sentiment has received some support. However, the recovery signals are still in their early stages, and confirmation of a trend reversal requires further volume analysis and more on-chain data—so as to avoid entering too aggressively and prematurely.

From the daily chart perspective, OTK has been consolidating near key support levels in recent weeks, with candlestick volatility gradually narrowing—a typical feature of range-bound consolidation. Bulls continue to position within the bottom zone, so when combined with a recovery in market sentiment and a surge in volume, a breakout above the box top resistance could usher in a new upward leg. Conversely, if volume remains insufficient, a retest of lower support areas may occur.

Octokn

British Pound: Growth slowdown and BoE tightening – BNP Paribas

Norwegian Krone: Norges Bank's surprise hike and risk support – HSBC

Eurozone: Higher inflation and ECB hikes projected – BNP Paribas

Brazilian economists raised their interest rate forecast for next year as inflation comes under pressure from resilient domestic demand and an energy shock caused by the Iran war.

Japanese Yen: Intervention and BoJ policy in focus – HSBC

Fed: Extended pause before late 2026 cut – UOB

2024–2026: Asset repricing amid persistently high interest rates

Mitsubishi UFJ: Stalemate in US-Iran negotiations intensifies inflation concerns, causing gold prices to drop.

Koehler: Unless the situation significantly improves, interest rate hikes are inevitable.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates twice this year as the Iran war drives inflation higher, a Bloomberg survey shows.

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