Recently, WAT's liquidity recovery has driven a short-term rebound, but market trading volume and on-chain fee rates remain sluggish. Investor sentiment is cautious, with the rebound representing more of a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. The price remains below key short- and medium-term moving averages and has not effectively breached major resistance levels (suggested focus range: 5.60–6.10). There has been no substantial improvement in risk appetite. Strategically, it is recommended to seize short-term liquidity windows for trading, beware of false breakouts and subsequent liquidity retreats, and keep positions at the lower end of standard allocation.

According to recent market dynamics, WAT experienced a signal of liquidity recovery after continuous corrections, with improved trading depth and a slight uptick in capital inflows. On the daily chart, the price has repeatedly tested prior lows and stabilized, with short-term moving averages showing signs of turning upward. Paired with a slight increase in trading volume, there is a foundation for a temporary rebound. This rebound mainly stems from improved liquidity and is likely to support a brief bottom correction within a month.

Although short-term liquidity has recovered somewhat, from a macrocyclical perspective, WAT's daily trading volume and on-chain fee rates remain near multi-year lows, with no substantial revival in market participation or activity. Sluggish trading and fee levels reflect the overall cautious investor sentiment, limiting upward momentum and suggesting that the current rebound is more of a technical repair than a sustainable trend reversal.

Technically, based on candlestick patterns, WAT’s price is still running below the main short- and mid-term moving averages, and has not broken through key resistance levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in oversold territory but has not formed a V-shaped rebound structure. Bollinger Bands are narrowing, signaling caution regarding movements at both ends. If the price cannot stand above key moving averages during the liquidity window, it may soon re-enter a downward channel. Investors should be wary of false breakouts and the risk of chasing highs in the event of a liquidity pullback.

Watermelon

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