1FLR has recently seen a short-term rebound driven by improved on-chain liquidity; however, trading volume has not significantly increased, casting doubt on the sustainability of the rebound. Macro indicators and trading interest remain weak, with the candlestick chart oscillating between key moving averages and lacking effective cooperation between price and volume, leaving the trend unclear. Recommendation: Remain cautious and observe until 1FLR breaks through and holds above the medium-to-long term moving averages, and trading volume and fee rates recover simultaneously (reference level: key resistance around 8.50, with volume expanding more than 30% above previous daily averages). Avoid chasing highs blindly, and implement strict stop-loss strategies for short-term trades.

Recently, on-chain liquidity indicators have risen significantly, providing 1FLR with an opportunity for a short-term rebound. On the candlestick chart, the price has started to recover modestly from recent lows but remains consolidating below key moving averages, and trading volume has not expanded, suggesting both bulls and bears are still probing in the short term. Overall, liquidity improvement injects positive sentiment into the market in the short term, but caution is warranted against the risk of insufficient volume dampening the continuity of the rebound.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Observing transaction fee rates and total trading volume indicators, the macro cycle of 1FLR still tends to be weak, and has not formed a reliable long-term trend reversal signal. Currently, the candlestick oscillates between medium-to-long term moving averages, while fee rates remain low, indicating that market enthusiasm has yet to significantly recover. Without clear confirmation from both price and volume, investors should maintain a cautious approach and avoid betting on a trend reversal prematurely.

On-chain data and market sentiment indicators have recently shown initial signs of improvement, but the overall scale is limited and lacks sufficient follow-through. While there have been sporadic price lifts on the candlestick chart, trading volume has not increased accordingly, reflecting that the market is still accumulating strength. At this stage, the key is to monitor subsequent changes in volume and fee rates—if the data continues to improve, a trend reversal may be confirmed; otherwise, short-term fluctuations may persist.

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