Recently, AURORA has shown short-term activity as Ethereum's core assets see renewed buying interest, but selling pressure remains at higher levels. Geopolitical risks have led to a decline in risk appetite, resulting in clear range-bound movement (0.0269–0.0276 USD). Trading strategy advice: In the short term, focus on selling high and buying low at the boundaries of the range, strictly control sudden risk exposures; for the medium and long term, consider increasing positions after the Ethereum ecosystem continues to attract funds and network activity trends become clear, patiently await valuation recovery opportunities.

On April 7, AURORAUSDT experienced sharp intraday fluctuations, with the highest point reaching $0.03397. The daily trading volume surged to 4.9 million tokens, showing that short-term bulls swiftly joined as the related market warmed up. However, the closing price only returned to around $0.02736, indicating that although bulls chased rapidly, they encountered selling pressure at higher levels. With Ethereum derivatives seeing a resurgence in buying and net long positions reaching multi-month highs, it can be inferred that when major underlying assets remain favored by capital, AURORA has the potential to follow suit and show short-term activity, but caution is needed regarding risks of profit-taking at high levels.

Market data shows Ethereum buyers are returning, with bulls defending the $2000 support level. Since March 6, Ethereum's aggressive buying volume has remained positive, indicating a recovery in derivatives market demand. The buying pressure dominates at $104 million, marking the first such shift in Ethereum derivatives since the last bear market. Futures open interest nears a historic high, and spot Ethereum ETFs saw a $120 million net inflow, the highest since mid-March.

Analysis: Ethereum's proactive order consumption has remained positive since March, signaling a recovery in the derivatives market.

Between April 11 and 12, AURORA’s price dropped from around $0.0277 to $0.0266, a decline exceeding 3%, with trading volume shrinking significantly to the 140,000–420,000 range. At the same time, tensions in the Gulf region prompted a return to risk-off sentiment for risky assets. US stock futures fell and the dollar strengthened, temporarily suppressing demand for high-risk tokens. Short-term traders should pay attention to the suddenness of macro risk events, avoiding emotional chasing at highs or blindly bottom-fishing.

Due to Trump's order to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surged, US stock futures fell, and the dollar strengthened. This escalation followed failed US-Iran talks in Pakistan, disappointing investors. Elias Haddad from Brown Brothers Harriman noted this will likely reignite risk aversion this week. Investors are also focused on the upcoming Q1 earnings season, seeking corporate leaders' views on rising risks.

Earnings season intertwined with geopolitical crises, market risk aversion reignites.

From a medium-to-long-term perspective, the number of Ethereum network users has increased by more than 80% year-over-year, transactions have exceeded 200 million, and stablecoin market share accounts for nearly 60% of the global market. The ETH/BTC ratio returned to three-month highs, indicating asset allocation is shifting toward high-risk sectors. As a Layer 2 ecosystem compatible with Ethereum, AURORA has the potential to amplify its advantages when network activity rises. If the broader market continues to attract capital and maintains support at key technical levels, AURORA is likely to see valuation recovery opportunities over a longer time frame.

The recent market has been described as a “no-trade zone,” with most capital opting to observe rather than act. Since April 8, AURORA has consistently fluctuated within the narrow range of $0.0269–$0.0276. Although average daily trading volume varies, there have been no clear breakout buy or sell signals, reflecting increased caution as macro and industry variables intertwine. It is recommended that short-term traders develop entry and exit strategies at both ends of the range, while long-term investors wait for confirmation of key support before taking action.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes states the crypto market is currently in a "no-trade zone," with his fund Maelstrom making almost no trades in Q1 due to lack of clear direction. He warns AI will disrupt white-collar jobs, causing deflationary financial collapse, while tensions in the Hormuz Strait amid US-Iran conflict are key market variables. Hayes outlines three scenarios involving war outcomes, AI impact, and shifts in global financial and energy systems.

Arthur Hayes: The crypto market is currently in a "no-trade zone," with the AI unemployment wave and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz as key variables.

Aurora

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Aurora Price: AURORA Live Price Today | AURORA Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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AURORA price today is 0.03, with a live price change of 0.82 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade AURORA on Bybit-eu.

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