ATOM has recently been driven by the rebound in global risk appetite, with its price successfully breaking through the key resistance at 1.80 USDT. The short-term structure has shifted to bullish dominance. It is advisable to monitor the effectiveness of the 1.74–1.75 USDT support and the situation regarding the breakthrough of the 1.85 USDT resistance level. However, the shutdown of Atomicals Market and adjustments to COSMOS SDK licensing have intensified medium- and long-term ecological uncertainties, possibly limiting the growth of external demand for the mainnet. For operations, short-term traders can follow the trend, but should be alert to signals of reduced trading volume. In the medium and long term, it is necessary to closely track ecosystem developments and partner responses to guard against potential negative events.

Recently, geopolitical tensions have eased somewhat, coupled with the Federal Reserve's hawkish expectations coming to fruition, leading to a restored confidence in risk assets in the market. In tandem with Bitcoin and Ethereum, ATOM's price regained upward momentum after a period of mid-term consolidation, reflecting investors' improved outlook on overall digital asset liquidity and a revival in risk appetite.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Since mid-March, ATOM's price has fluctuated multiple times within the 1.65–1.80 USDT range, forming a distinct box pattern. On April 16, the closing price broke above the critical 1.80 USDT resistance, accompanied by increased trading volume, confirming the short-term bullish momentum. If prices can remain above 1.80 USDT, the 1.74–1.75 USDT range will serve as new support, while the next focus above is the previous high resistance at 1.84–1.85 USDT.

The trading platform under the Atomicals ecosystem has announced it will cease service at the end of April, requiring users to withdraw assets or export private keys ahead of time. This move will lead to the concentrated exit of NFTs and related assets within the ecosystem, possibly intensifying market selling pressure and sentiment volatility in the short term and impacting ATOM's overall liquidity to a certain extent; however, the impact is mainly concentrated at the ecosystem expansion level and is unlikely to undermine mainnet consensus.

The UK AI Safety Institute (AISI) evaluated Anthropic's Claude Mythos Preview, showing significant improvements in cybersecurity tasks. OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google formed an AI defense alliance against Chinese AI cloning. OpenAI's CFO emphasized building competitive moats. Microsoft tests autonomous AI in Copilot. OpenAI acquired personal finance startup Hiro. A man faces federal charges for attacking OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. South Korea fined Coinone $3.5M for AML violations. Circle CEO discussed ethical dilemmas in freezing USDC. Atomicals Market will close April 30. The US plans a naval blockade in the Arabian Sea. Strategy and Bitmine made major crypto purchases. Coinbase launched a UK DEX gateway. Various geopolitical and regulatory updates include US-Iran talks, SEC crypto wallet guidance, and European Central Bank support for tokenized markets.

Important news from last night and this morning (April 13 - April 14).

Atomicals Market, the trading platform of the Atomicals ecosystem, announced it will officially close on April 30, 2026. Current listings and bids are off-chain data and will no longer be displayed after closure. Users are advised to withdraw assets or export private keys from the AM Wallet before April 30 to avoid losing access to asset management due to service termination.

Atomicals Market will officially close on April 30.

The Cosmos SDK Enterprise module has shifted from the Apache-2.0 license to a source code license for evaluation use only, with commercial deployment requiring separate authorization. This policy change has hindered some partners (such as Akash Network) from continuing to offer commercial services based on this module, potentially limiting ecosystem interoperability and enterprise solution adoption, and posing potential long-term drag on ATOM’s demand as network fuel.

Cosmos Hub

UBS: Still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points later this year.

China expected to keep benchmark lending rates steady after strong GDP data

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates in June as the Iran war drives inflation higher this year, a Bloomberg survey showed.

Important news from last night and this morning (April 16 - April 17).

Bank of Japan Governor: We need to simultaneously address rising energy prices and economic downturn risks; policy-making is very difficult at this stage.

BOJ chief avoids hints of April rate hike, shattering hawkish market bets

Cosmos Hub's proposal to integrate Osmosis failed to pass governance, and it will continue to operate independently.

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

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ATOM price today is 1.81, with a live price change of 0.13 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade ATOM on Bybit-eu.

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