MOVE has now completed a deep deleveraging, increasing its sensitivity to capital flows. Recently, boosted by improving geopolitical conditions and a rebound in macro risk appetite, MOVE saw a substantial volume-driven rally and effectively broke through the short-term resistance at $0.0185. If it can further break above and stabilize at $0.0189, a double-bottom pattern will be confirmed, and short-term bullish momentum may continue to be released. For the medium term, close attention should be paid to Bitcoin’s performance at the crucial $75,000 level and the risk of market sentiment cooling. The $0.0170–0.0173 range is the watershed between bulls and bears, so it is recommended to dynamically adjust positions, buy low and sell high, and focus on capturing swing trading opportunities.

Recently, Bitcoin’s open interest in futures has dropped sharply to half of last year’s level, and the overall leverage usage ratio has significantly decreased. This deleveraging structure means market positions are healthier, but it also increases the sensitivity to any marginal capital inflows. Once any new funds enter the market, price volatility tends to be amplified. As a small- and mid-cap token, MOVE reacts more drastically to shifts in overall crypto market risk appetite, making it highly prone to large swings in the short term when disrupted by capital flows.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

With signs of easing tensions in the Middle East and a more hawkish bias from the US Federal Reserve, global risk assets are showing divergent trends under the influence of both geopolitical and macro factors. Bitcoin and Ethereum are leading the rebound, major stock markets are stabilizing and recovering, while oil prices have fallen. Improved risk appetite at the margin is creating a short-term bullish environment for most altcoins including MOVE. From a market sentiment perspective, the waning demand for safe-haven assets coexists with tight liquidity, leading to higher willingness for bulls to participate actively.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

On the daily chart, MOVE hit a local low of $0.01697 on April 12, followed by several days of sideway consolidation, and then saw a volume-driven rebound on April 16, reaching $0.01867—a single-day gain of 5.6% and volume more than doubled the average. This recovery saw MOVE stabilize above the 50-day MA and effectively break through the short-term resistance near $0.0185. The price-volume synergy indicates short-term bullish momentum was released. If MOVE continues upwards and challenges the $0.0189 high, a short-term double-bottom pattern is likely to be confirmed.

Mainstream assets have been frequently testing key moving averages and volatility points recently. If Bitcoin can stay above $75,000, the market could enter a new medium-term bull phase, driving value realization for altcoins like MOVE. However, a renewed pullback could rapidly cool short-term sentiment. For MOVE, the $0.0170–$0.0173 region serves as an important bull-bear watershed. Investors should monitor market volatility and performance at these price levels to seize medium- and long-term positioning opportunities.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Movement

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Movement Price: MOVE Live Price Today | MOVE Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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MOVE price today is 0.02, with a live price change of 3.47 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade MOVE on Bybit-eu.

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