The current CAPS market sentiment is marginally warming up. With the support level stabilizing, bullish expectations are rising, though trading volume has yet to follow through. In the short term, attention should be paid to a breakout confirmation accompanied by increasing volume. The spot-dominated market structure reduces systemic liquidation risks, as volatility declines and risk appetite mildly recovers. Strategy suggestion: Maintain base positions, and watch for volume-driven breakouts in the 0.18-0.22 range to consider buying more. If trading volume is insufficient and sentiment weakens, beware of repeated range-bound movements and short-term corrections.

Since the beginning of the year, overall risk appetite in the crypto market has picked up, and investors’ expectations for price rebounds are strengthening. During this phase, CAPS tokens have shown a choppy upward trend around key support levels. However, bullish confidence is not fully established, and ongoing support from trading volume is a crucial prerequisite for further breakouts. In the short term, if prices can hold above the support level with rising volume and consecutive bullish candles, the upward momentum could continue; otherwise, the price may keep oscillating within the current range.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Recently, the market has shifted from a deleveraging phase to a moderate expansion, with spot capital inflows taking the lead and driving a steady overall uptrend. This structural shift reduces the short-term probability of sharp volatility caused by forced liquidations. Benefiting from this healthier setup, CAPS volatility has also contracted and the risk of large-scale liquidations for holders has decreased. However, caution is advised that if market sentiment rapidly reverses and prices lose support, speculative capital may exit quickly, triggering a price correction.

Ternoa

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Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

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