Driven by a rebound in macro risk appetite, AVA has shown significant short-term upward momentum. However, there is strong resistance in the $0.21–0.23 range; failure to effectively break through this level will sustain short-term downward pressure, with $0.19 serving as key support. If this support is lost, it may trigger a further correction. In the medium to long term, continued vigilance is required regarding systemic adjustment risks posed by high oil prices and changes in Federal Reserve policies. It is advised to focus on swing trading at this stage, monitor macro variables closely, and avoid blind pursuit of highs.

Recently, eased geopolitical tensions, oil prices remaining around the $100 level, and Bitcoin breaking through the $70,000 mark have all significantly boosted overall market risk appetite, spurring investor enthusiasm for altcoins. As a result, AVA once surged to a monthly high of $0.2318 on March 20, indicating a clear short-term bullish sentiment in the market.

After retreating from the monthly high, AVA has repeatedly tested the $0.19 level over multiple days, forming a clear short-term downtrend channel. With trading volumes continuing to shrink, the current $0.19 level has become an important support, while the $0.21–$0.23 range constitutes strong resistance. If there is insufficient short-term buying, further declines could open up deeper correction space.

Although the recent rebound in risk appetite has brought a short-term recovery, caution is needed against a potential sharp rise in oil prices and a more cautious stance in Federal Reserve policy, both of which could bring systemic risks. Persistently high oil prices may tighten the global credit market, and a wait-and-see approach by the Fed would suppress overall risk asset valuations. In the medium and long term, AVA's performance will continue to be constrained by both macro interest rates and commodity prices, and the possibility of increased volatility cannot be ignored.

AVA Chiang Mai Night Safari (AVA)

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