Currently, BLOK benefits from bullish macro market expectations and a strong long sentiment in the derivatives market, with short-term capital inflow momentum strengthening. The probability of a continued long-biased structure remains high. In the short term, it is recommended to focus on the continuation of the uptrend within the 0.028—0.032 range. For active positioning, it is necessary to simultaneously consider the risks of trading depth and liquidity fragmentation. When order book depth is insufficient, positions should be strictly controlled and dynamic stop-losses should be set to prevent slippage losses caused by localized sharp fluctuations. Overall, it is advised to mainly follow the short-term trend, adjust positions dynamically, and be cautious of liquidity depletion under extreme market conditions.

Recently, there have been signs of a phased recovery in market sentiment as major cryptocurrencies have started to rise from a bottoming consolidation, with risk appetite gradually increasing. At the macro level, many investment institutions are optimistic about the future bull market trend, believing that the current correction might be the last opportunity to cut positions. These positive factors collectively provide short-term capital inflow momentum for BLOK, helping it gain a relative advantage in the market rebound.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

According to options market data, demand for long calls has clearly expanded, with short squeezes and short covering driving volatility expectations higher. Against this backdrop, market risk appetite for high-leverage instruments continues to grow. Small and mid-cap tokens may benefit from these trends alongside major assets, and BLOK could gain from the overall expansion of bullish sentiment.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

Despite the recovery in market sentiment, trading depth remains insufficient in the short term, particularly for small and mid-cap tokens where order book gaps are more likely. Historical data show that intensified long-short competition in the short term can lead to severe liquidity fragmentation, causing sharp price swings and significantly increasing slippage and transaction costs. For BLOK, it is essential to closely monitor order book depth and execution speed, flexibly adjust position sizing and stop-loss levels, and manage liquidity risk under extreme market conditions.

Bloktopia

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

Market Edges Higher; Strong U.S. Jobs Data Complicates Rate Outlook

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