Against the backdrop of sharp fluctuations in current macro sentiment, CSPR is affected by the shift in risk preference of mainstream assets, forming a completed bottom on the daily chart and experiencing strengthened short-term buying power. It is recommended to watch for a breakout or retest in the 0.00317 resistance and 0.00288 support zone, maintaining a short-term range-bound trading strategy. If Bitcoin continues its pullback, CSPR may come under pressure to test lower supports. In the medium to long term, institutional allocation and ecosystem iteration provide core value support, offering strategic opportunities for phased accumulation and long-term positioning.

Recently, easing global geopolitical tensions and record highs in major stock indices, coupled with surges in the semiconductor and AI sectors, have warmed overall crypto market sentiment. Bitcoin once broke the $80,000 mark, mainly due to continuous inflows into institutional ETFs, although on-chain retail activity remains subdued. Subsequently, stronger-than-expected macro data kept the market cautious about monetary policy prospects, resulting in divergence in risk premiums at high levels. Against this backdrop, fluctuations in mainstream assets intensified, and market risk preferences began to flip repeatedly between extreme optimism and caution, causing periodic disturbances to mid- and small-cap tokens like CSPR.

Global markets surged as geopolitical tensions eased, with major indices hitting record highs and the Korean KOSPI soaring 6.45%. In tech, semiconductor and AI-related stocks rallied strongly. Bitcoin broke $80,000, driven by institutional ETF inflows, though on-chain activity showed low retail participation. Opinions diverge on Bitcoin's outlook, with some seeing a fragile rally and others bullish due to strong accumulation and ETF demand. TON ecosystem also gained momentum after Telegram's increased involvement.

Trading Moment: Global Asset Frenzy, Bitcoin Breaks $80,000, $84,000 CME Gap Awaiting Refill.

Bitcoin fell below $80,000 after five consecutive days of net inflows into spot ETFs ended, signaling a cooling rebound from February lows. Stronger-than-expected US April jobs data heightened concerns over energy-driven inflation limiting rate cuts. Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw significant outflows, reflecting reduced institutional risk appetite. Rising US-Iran tensions pushed oil prices up, offsetting some risk asset support. Derivatives suggest prolonged hawkish rate expectations, with retail participation low and market momentum weak, posing a risk of Bitcoin retesting $75,000–$78,000 support.

Analysis: Bitcoin surged then fell back below $80K, with ETF outflows and geopolitical risks jointly suppressing market sentiment.

On the daily chart, after CSPR pulled back from the 0.00313 high in mid-April, it established a double-bottom pattern in the 0.00277–0.00290 range. From May 6th, volume surged as prices rebounded, breaking through the short-term resistance at 0.00304. The most recent strong bullish candlestick was accompanied by significantly increased trading volume, indicating stronger buying confidence. Technically, moving averages are now in bullish alignment and the RSI is running above the neutral 50, posing no immediate risk of overbought conditions. Key resistance is at 0.00317—if broken and held, it may challenge 0.00330; support is near 0.00288, with caution needed for potential retest down to 0.00277 if breached.

In the short term, if Bitcoin retreats again to the $75,000–$78,000 range, risk assets may face renewed pressure, and CSPR may continue to consolidate sideways. Alternatively, if mainstream portfolios turn positive again, it may drive short-term capital rotation into the market. In the medium to long term, top venture capital institutions are continuously expanding their crypto allocations and are confident in the future development of smart contract platforms, providing value support for CSPR. The project's own technical iteration and ecosystem progress will be major pricing drivers in secondary markets; bulls can consider phased positioning at key support areas in pursuit of medium to long-term returns.

The VC discussion covers the crypto market recovery, a16z Crypto's $2.2 billion new fund and ten-year outlook, and IOSG's analysis of MicroStrategy's STRC Bitcoin financing cycle. Topics include major crypto VC activities, AI investment trends, and detailed insights from various capital firms on Bitcoin holdings, market dynamics, and future prospects in crypto and AI sectors.

VC Says | Crypto Market Recovery, a16z Crypto's $2.2B New Fund and Ten-Year Outlook, IOSG Breaks Down MicroStrategy STRC Bitcoin Financing Flywheel...

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