Driven by the stabilization of the global macro environment and the rebound in market risk appetite, the short-term allocation value of A8 is gradually emerging. Current capital flows favor small and mid-cap tokens, but attention should be paid to potential capital diversion effects caused by volatility in major assets. From a technical perspective, A8 is trading in a range between 0.0091 and 0.011. Watch for confirmation of a valid breakout in the 0.0110–0.0112 zone; if sustained, a new round of increased volume and upward movement may follow. Strong support lies at 0.0102–0.0103; a breakdown here increases short-term risk. It is recommended to seize signals of upward breakthroughs and manage positions flexibly to guard against short-term shocks from major assets’ volatility impacting A8.

Recently, easing tensions in the Middle East and the easing pressure on commodity prices, coupled with US core PCE figures in line with expectations, have reduced uncertainty around inflation and the Fed's policy turns. These developments have boosted overall sentiment for risk assets, accelerating capital inflows. Since early this month, Bitcoin market exposure has continued to widen, driving increased activity in the broader crypto market and creating a short-term window for allocation in small and mid-cap tokens. For A8, improving risk appetite means greater attention is likely in an environment of abundant liquidity and ample capital.

Bitcoin call options with an $80,000 strike price on Deribit have surged to over $1.6 billion in open interest, surpassing $1.41 billion in $60,000 put options, signaling a market shift amid improving sentiment. Analysts link this to a temporary US-Iran ceasefire easing oil prices and inflation concerns, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts and benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin. Asset manager 21Shares notes that with ongoing ETF inflows and institutional holdings, Bitcoin could approach $100,000 by Q2 end if geopolitical and regulatory conditions improve, though risks remain if Middle East tensions escalate.

Analysis: Bitcoin $80K call options open interest exceeds $1.6 billion, market bets on a rally driven by a combination of trend reversal and rate cut expectations.

The latest US PCE inflation data met expectations, easing market uncertainty and stabilizing Bitcoin around $73,000. Core PCE rose 3% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month. Despite easing US-Iran tensions, potential energy price impacts remain unreflected. Investors remain cautious about Fed rate cuts. Economist Mohamed El-Erian highlights upcoming CPI data as more critical amid oil price volatility. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe maintains an $80,000 Bitcoin target if key support holds.

Analysts maintain an $80K Bitcoin target as PCE inflation data boosts market sentiment.

As Bitcoin repeatedly broke through key price levels accompanied by pronounced volatility, the market saw back-and-forth risk taking. Meanwhile, the AI sector led the rally, attracting a brief outflow of speculative capital which suppressed some niche tokens. Although A8 hasn't experienced a one-sided surge recently, its correlation with major assets has increased; a short-term pullback in Bitcoin tends to put pressure on A8, while a rebound in risk appetite provides conditions for A8 to rally with increased volume.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

The crypto market sector saw widespread gains, with the AI sector leading with a 12.48% increase in 24 hours. Notably, Siren (SIREN) rose 92.70%, and SkyAI (SKYAI) increased by 32.37%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 0.14%, remaining near $74,000, and Ethereum (ETH) dropped 1.12%, falling just above $2,300.

The cryptocurrency market sector broadly rose, with the AI sector leading gains of over 12%.

From the daily chart, A8 has been consolidating in the 0.0091–0.011 range since mid to late March. On April 11, it spiked on increased volume to reach 0.01199 before pulling back, and has since entered a consolidation phase with notably reduced volume. The current price is hovering around 0.0108, with short-term resistance at 0.0110–0.0112. A sustained breakout here could open up another leg higher; on the downside, key support sits at approximately 0.0102–0.0103. If this level fails, watch for a further pullback toward 0.0099–0.0100.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

Ancient8

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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