COOKIE benefited from the alleviation of macro risk sentiment and sector rotation. Short-term trading volume expanded significantly, driving the token price to break out of previous consolidation and move up to the $0.0179~0.0181 range. However, the persistent negative funding rates in the derivatives market reflect insufficient willingness among longs to chase the price, signaling caution against short-term profit-taking pressure. Strategically, it is advised to focus on the effectiveness of the $0.0180 resistance and the support from the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. Without confirmation of additional institutional inflow, chasing the rally in the short term carries heightened risk. Prefer buying on dips and continue tracking sector hotspots and mainstream liquidity trends in the mid-term.

In mid-April, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to a recovery in mainstream risk assets. Bitcoin once rebounded rapidly from around $72,000 to above $74,000, with apparent decline in risk aversion. At the same time, the Fed’s hawkish stance did not suppress short-term risk appetite; instead, amid a 'first suppress then rise' regulatory outlook, funds initiated tentative allocations to crypto assets. Overall market liquidity improved, laying the foundation for subsequent sector rotation.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Starting from a late-March low of $0.0150, COOKIE entered a sideways accumulation phase until April 16, when intraday trading volume spiked to 8.1 million. The price jumped sharply from $0.01607 to $0.01794 within a single day, and continued climbing to $0.01815 the following day, forming back-to-back bullish candles. This short-term buying surge echoed the improved industry sentiment driven by spot BTC purchases. However, the negative funding rate in derivatives indicates long positions remain cautious, with prices now near previous resistance and short-term profit-taking pressure looming.

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

Market data shows sectors represented by AI and Meme concepts have outperformed the broader market in the short term, boosting popularity for COOKIE as a Meme asset. Yet, the negative funding rates and negative gamma effects in the derivatives market, especially for Bitcoin, have not fully dissipated, which means overall volatility persists and near-term fluctuations may be amplified. Looking ahead, sustained trends will depend on institutional inflows—such as continued ETF and whale accumulation—and the support and resistance provided by key moving averages (100-day, 200-day), which are critical for assessing trend sustainability.

According to SoSoValue data reported by ChainCatcher, most of the cryptocurrency market saw gains, with AI and Meme sectors showing relative strength, rising 1.08% and 1.03% respectively in 24 hours. Notable increases include 0G up 14.95%, Worldcoin up 6.58%, and MemeCore up 4.45%. Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced slight declines, falling 0.37% and 0.43%, respectively. Other sectors showed mixed performance with minor gains and losses.

Data: Most of the crypto market is up, with AI and Meme sectors relatively strong, while BTC and ETH have slightly pulled back.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Cookie DAO

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Cookie DAO Price: COOKIE Live Price Today | COOKIE Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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COOKIE price today is 0.02, with a live price change of 4.48 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade COOKIE on Bybit-eu.

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