Recently, ALCH experienced a sharp surge driven by short-term capital inflows as geopolitical tensions eased and the Federal Reserve's dovish stance resonated with markets, reaching a peak of 0.10383 USDT. However, it quickly retraced to 0.07754 USDT as profit-taking intensified at higher levels. The 0.064 USDT level now serves as a key support; if it holds, another accumulation phase may follow. The 0.088–0.090 USDT zone above is a primary short-term resistance, and a breakout will require new incremental buying power. In the medium to long term, increasing institutional allocation interest may benefit ALCH as overall market risk appetite warms. Nevertheless, it is advisable to monitor macro liquidity and potential volatility from sector rotation. Dynamic stop-loss and prudent position management are emphasized for operations.

In early April, easing geopolitical risks combined with the Federal Reserve’s hawkish commentary led to a significant recovery in risk appetite across digital asset markets. Against this backdrop, ALCH saw a volume spike on April 15, with the price opening at 0.06466 USDT and surging to a high of 0.10383 USDT, marking an increase of over 60%. The main drivers of this rally were concentrated short-term capital inflows and favorable macro sentiment.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

After the sharp rise on the 15th accompanied by an explosive trading volume exceeding 140 million USDT, the following two days saw rapid pullbacks, with prices falling from 0.10383 USDT to 0.08049 USDT and then to 0.07754 USDT, indicating concentrated profit taking and clear pressure on sentiment during the short-term market correction.

On the daily chart, the 0.064 USDT area has acted as support several times recently—holding this level may facilitate a new base-building phase. The 0.088–0.090 USDT zone above represents major short-term resistance, and a breakout will require sustained incremental buying. According to volatility patterns implied in derivatives markets, breaking through key resistance could trigger secondary volatility.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

With Bitcoin ETFs and increasing institutional holdings, the long-term appeal of mainstream digital assets is rising. As an ecosystem token, ALCH stands to benefit from the market's allocation to decentralized finance products, but ongoing attention is needed for macro liquidity conditions and sector rotation, which may impact risk asset redistribution.

Alchemist AI

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

Trump warns of bombing if no Iran deal by April 21 ceasefire expiration

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

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ALCH price today is 0.08, with a live price change of -0.62 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade ALCH on Bybit-eu.

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