SWELL is currently oscillating in the 0.00115–0.00120 range. Benefiting from the rebound in macro risk appetite and Bitcoin's new highs, short-term bullish sentiment is showing signs of strengthening. On-chain indicators reveal profit-taking by small investors along with retail selling pressure, suggesting intensified short-term volatility but solid support below. Strategy recommendation: Gradually build positions near the 0.00115 area with strict stop-losses. If price breaks above 0.00122 with significant volume, consider adding to positions, while managing the risk of chasing highs. Closely monitor trends in major coins and shifts in market sentiment.

Recently, both the Nasdaq and S&P have continued to climb, with Bitcoin reaching new highs and market risk appetite notably warming up. Signs of easing geopolitical tensions are also emerging, leading liquidity to flow toward risk assets. Over the past several weeks, SWELL has been consolidating sideways in the 0.00115–0.00120 range. Although trading volume remains relatively low, if the broader market's bullish momentum persists, it is likely to drive a rebound among altcoins, including SWELL. In the short term, if Bitcoin holds its key highs and moves further upward, SWELL may attract more speculative capital, resulting in a phase of amplified bullish sentiment.

The Nasdaq 100 has surged about 12% since March 27, marking its longest winning streak since 2021, while the S&P 500 has rebounded nearly 10%. Bitcoin also hit a new high above $76,000, with on-chain data indicating bullish behavior. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and negative funding rates in crypto, markets seem to be pricing in an early end to the Iran conflict, supported by upcoming peace talks and improving regional conditions.

The Nasdaq is about to hit a new high, is the bull market back?

Market focus has shifted from "war escalation" to "effective risk pricing." Improved US-Iran negotiations ease extreme supply shock fears, but US sanctions keep risks "controllably suppressed." Energy prices show mixed signals: WTI's premium over Brent declines, yet tight supply and OPEC cuts maintain upward pressure. Businesses delay investments amid uncertainty, causing lagged economic effects. Markets face asymmetric pricing amid macro risk easing but unresolved structural pressures, with liquidity-driven volatility persisting, including in crypto assets like BTC.

Bitunix Analyst: Energy supply risks have shifted to a controllable state but are not yet resolved. Policy and corporate actions are beginning to show delayed responses, and the market has entered a phase of asymmetric pricing.

On-chain data shows that small investors are locking in floating profits on Ethereum, with some market participants seeing the recent rebound as a bull trap, leading to caution or risk aversion. Such risk-off sentiment has a cross-asset spillover effect, which could cause SWELL, as a high-beta asset, to see short-term profit-taking. Intraday volume changes also indicate that occasional surges in trading volume are accompanied by pullbacks, suggesting that retail investors are either waiting on the sidelines or exiting at higher levels. This points to the need for vigilance against short-term sentiment-driven volatility.

Santiment reported that amid recent market gains, small retail investors are selling significant amounts of Ethereum, with wallets holding 0.01 ETH or less reducing by 1,791 ETH (worth $4.16 million) in two days. The public perceives the 17% rise since March 29 as a bull trap, which ironically may strengthen the likelihood of the ongoing bullish momentum continuing.

Santiment: The general market believes the recent rise is a bull trap, but the bullish momentum may continue.

From the daily chart, the 0.00115 level has repeatedly gained buying support and has not been breached, indicating limited downside pressure. The 0.00120–0.00122 range has frequently seen concentrated selling, forming notable resistance in the short term. With macro risk appetite remaining upbeat and retail selling patterns relatively controlled, it is advisable to focus on opportunities for staged entries near the support zone: gradually build positions around 0.00115, entering once price confirms support. If price breaks above 0.00122 with confirming volume, a moderate position increase can be considered to expand gains. Always combine with real-time volume and broader market trends to avoid secondary pullback risks from chasing highs.

Swell

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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SWELL price today is 0.00, with a live price change of 1.88 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade SWELL on Bybit-eu.

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