Driven by easing macro geopolitics and a Bitcoin breakout, USTC's short-term risk appetite has significantly increased. The technical breakout above $0.0054 has further strengthened the bullish pattern; a breakout above $0.00576 may open up more upside, while a pullback requires attention to the effectiveness of the $0.00505 support. Be cautious of trading volume not visibly increasing and the risk of capital returning to mainstream assets under a hawkish Federal Reserve policy. Recommended strategy: follow the trend with dynamic take-profit and stop-loss in the short term; prioritize position control and defensive tactics in the long term to avoid chasing highs.

Since mid-month, with advances in ceasefire in the Middle East and easing US-Iran nuclear talks, geopolitical risks have significantly declined, oil prices have come under pressure, and global risk assets have broadly rebounded. This round of rising risk appetite has strengthened the crypto market led by Bitcoin. As BTC returns above $74,000, market sentiment continues to repair. USTC has also absorbed inflows synchronously, strengthening the bullish atmosphere, with daily prices gradually rising from around $0.0046 to the $0.0054 level. Although uncertainties in Fed personnel have increased short-term market volatility risks, overall sentiment remains bullish, helping drive ongoing structural opportunities in the short term.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

The Middle East ceasefire and US-Iran nuclear talks progress have eased geopolitical risks, pressuring oil prices and boosting global risk assets. The Nasdaq set a record 12-day winning streak, with tech and AI sectors attracting capital. Bitcoin rebounded above $74,000 amid steady ETF flows and balanced leverage liquidations. However, Democratic opposition delays Fed nominee Wash's hearing, increasing leadership uncertainty and market volatility risks.

Bitget UEX Daily Report | Hopes for Middle East Peace Rise, Nasdaq Hits Record 12 Consecutive Gains, Anthropic Releases New AI Model

On the daily chart, USTC started its upward trend from the $0.00446 low in early April, steadily moving along the 20-day moving average, currently trading near $0.0054. The upper shadow high at $0.00576 on April 17 has become a key short-term resistance; a breakout with increased volume may further drive gains, while a failure under resistance requires attention to the strength of support around $0.00505. Overall trading volume has decreased compared to early April, so watch for subsequent volume expansion; otherwise, there is risk of short-term consolidation.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Although recent sustained positioning in Bitcoin ETFs by institutions has enhanced the overall appeal of crypto assets, under a hawkish interest rate policy, the risk premium for highly volatile, small-cap assets may rise. As a marginal asset, USTC needs to be alert to the sustainability of market attention and capital support in the mid-to-long term as US dollar liquidity tightens and funds concentrate more in mainstream leading assets. Therefore, the long-term approach should prioritize strict take-profit and stop-loss strategies as well as position management.

TerraClassicUSD

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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TerraClassicUSD Price: USTC Live Price Today | USTC Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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