GHOST currently benefits from a rebound in market sentiment, with short-term buying driving a gentle upward price movement. However, leverage capital has not yet entered on a large scale, causing a divergence between spot trading and transaction structure, and the risk of a pullback remains. The current phase is dominated by spot trading, with trading volume steadily increasing and systemic risks remaining low, laying a healthy foundation for the medium-term trend. It is recommended to monitor turnover and volume performance around the key resistance range of 1.80–2.10; a firm breakout above this zone can be seen as a signal of strengthening medium-term trend. In the short term, be cautious of slippage risks brought by liquidity fragmentation. For short-term operations, control position size, prioritize popular contracts with concentrated liquidity, avoid chasing highs, and focus on structural optimization and defensive strategies.

After adjustments at the end of the year, the overall crypto market is showing signs of sentiment recovery, with investors increasingly willing to reallocate into risk assets. Recently, Bitcoin has shifted from deleveraging to moderate expansion, with the Z-Score providing a positive confirmation signal, indicating declining market risk premiums. Against this backdrop, GHOST, as a sentiment-sensitive asset, is also likely to attract capital inflows, driving a resurgence of short-term upward momentum. However, since spot buying is mainly driving the current market, and leverage has not entered on a large scale, the risk of a short-term pullback persists. Close attention should be paid to divergences between price action and transaction structure.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The current moderate expansion phase dominated by spot buying has reduced the chain risk of forced liquidations, providing a safety margin for medium- to long-term holders. If GHOST can maintain stable growth in trading volume and build solid support above key resistance levels, it will help attract more institutional and medium- to long-term funds. From a medium- to long-term value perspective, the initial features of sentiment recovery still need further data confirmation, but the overall structure is healthy, which helps reduce crash risk and supports the medium-term upside logic for GHOST.

Short-term market liquidity is distinctly fragmented: most short-duration contracts show sparse 24-hour trading volume and overall shallow depth, with a significant gap compared to high-frequency markets such as sports betting. For GHOST, this means that there may be considerable slippage and instant order gap risks during rapid volatility phases. Short-term traders should especially strengthen position management to avoid unfavorable execution caused by insufficient liquidity during dramatic market swings. Meanwhile, the relatively liquid popular contracts or blockchain event-driven directions can be used as timing reference, but do not blindly chase highs.

PANews analyzed 295,000 historical markets on Polymarket, revealing that 63.16% of short-term markets (under 1 day) had zero transactions in 24 hours. Short-term crypto markets suffer from low liquidity, with sports markets averaging $1.32 million in volume, 30 times higher than crypto's $44,000. A small number of top contracts (505) account for 47% of total volume. Long-term markets (>30 days) have 45 times more liquidity, led by US politics. Geopolitical markets are the fastest-growing segment. Polymarket is polarizing into "high-frequency sports betting" and "macro political hedging," with liquidity concentrated in few top narratives.

PANews data: 63% of the short-term market on Polymarket had 0 transactions in the last 24 hours, with 505 top contracts accounting for 47% of the trading volume.

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