PKN is influenced by short-term market liquidity differentiation, currently exhibiting low volatility and a wait-and-see pattern. The price is expected to remain within the 0.082–0.092 range, with limited short-term upward momentum. Key attention should be paid to capital inflow into long-term political hedging contracts, as related sectors have seen activity surge by over 45 times in the ultra-short term, which is expected to significantly boost platform fee revenue and ecosystem stickiness, thereby improving the supply and demand structure of PKN in the medium to long term. It is recommended to maintain short-term caution, build medium- to long-term positions, and focus on liquidity enhancement and value revaluation opportunities catalyzed by subsequent macro events.

Recently, Polymarket's short-term contract market has seen sparse 24-hour trading volume, resulting in an overall decline in platform liquidity. PKN short-term trading volume has decreased in tandem, with technicals showing a narrow sideways pattern, failing to break through key resistance levels. As the prevalence of low-frequency trades widens bid-ask spreads, market sentiment has turned cautious, with both bulls and bears adopting a wait-and-see attitude in the short term, placing pressure on PKN in consolidation.

Polymarket's long-term (>30 days) contracts have seen significant increases, especially in the US politics and geopolitical sectors, with long-term capital activity being more than 45 times that of the short-term market. This trend helps increase platform fee income and user stickiness, providing PKN with more stable ecosystem support. From a value investment perspective, sustained fee dividends driven by medium- and long-term political and economic hedging demand are expected to gradually improve PKN’s supply-demand structure and drive upward corrections in token value.

Poken

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence

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