Amid current macro easing expectations and Bitcoin's high-level consolidation, CSPR's daily structure shows signs of a short-term stabilization. If it can effectively break through the $0.00313–$0.00317 resistance zone in the near term, the rebound trend may be reinforced and bullish momentum sustained. The $0.00289–$0.00292 zone serves as critical support; a breakdown may trigger corrective risks. It is advised to closely track Bitcoin's performance near $75,000 and the 100-day moving average, and adjust positions flexibly based on volume changes. Adopt a strategy of staggered entry and profit-taking to handle market volatility.

Recent progress in the Middle East ceasefire and phased achievements in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations have significantly reduced geopolitical risk premiums. Meanwhile, although the Federal Reserve has taken a more hawkish tone, liquidity has not been fully tightened, thus allowing the market to cautiously probe the upside in risk assets. Continuous rallies in equities, especially in technology and AI sectors, along with sustained institutional allocation to Bitcoin ETFs and large players buying the dip, have all reinforced market risk appetite on the macro level, providing positive sentiment support for the crypto market.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

The Middle East ceasefire and US-Iran nuclear talks progress have eased geopolitical risks, pressuring oil prices and boosting global risk assets. The Nasdaq set a record 12-day winning streak, with tech and AI sectors attracting capital. Bitcoin rebounded above $74,000 amid steady ETF flows and balanced leverage liquidations. However, Democratic opposition delays Fed nominee Wash's hearing, increasing leadership uncertainty and market volatility risks.

Bitget UEX Daily Report | Hopes for Middle East Peace Rise, Nasdaq Hits Record 12 Consecutive Gains, Anthropic Releases New AI Model

After retreating from a four-week high, Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the $75,000 level, achieving brief breakthroughs but encountering pullbacks around $78,000. Currently, the area near $75,000 coincides with the 100-day moving average, serving as a short-term volatility release point. The 200-day moving average near $87,500 remains the mid- to long-term bull-bear dividing line. The volatility band in the $80,000–$80,600 range shows a positive gamma zone, suggesting volatility has softened. However, a return below $75,000 could trigger further downward pressure from leveraged short covering, potentially affecting risk asset sentiment more broadly.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

On the daily chart, CSPR saw a significant uptick in trading volume on April 8, hitting a high of $0.003739 before pulling back to the $0.002893–$0.002912 range, where it found support and began to rebound. Over the past two days, it has posted small gains with lower volumes, indicating a consolidation and stabilization pattern. Immediate resistance is in the $0.00313–$0.00317 range; a decisive breakout here could potentially extend bullish momentum. The key support sits at $0.00289–$0.00292—breaching it might trigger a new round of correction. Given the linkage between macro and Bitcoin trends on overall sentiment, attention should be paid to market turning points to inform subsequent entries or profit-taking decisions.

Casper Network

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

Trump warns of bombing if no Iran deal by April 21 ceasefire expiration

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

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