Recently, CAT experienced a surge followed by a pullback against the backdrop of improving global risk appetite and increased volatility in major cryptocurrencies, indicating that short-term capital remains highly sensitive. Currently, technical support is found in the 0.00000170–0.00000175 range. If this support holds, a consolidation structure between 0.00000179–0.00000184 is likely to be maintained. Considering AI-driven quant strategies and the influx of institutional funds, it is recommended to closely monitor breakout signals after retests of support, capitalize on sector liquidity and sentiment turning points, and accumulate on dips for mid-term opportunities, while remaining cautious of high short-term volatility risks.

Recently, the easing geopolitical situation and the continued hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve have driven a general rebound in risk assets. Bitcoin and Ethereum led the way, triggering broad-based gains among altcoins. CAT rebounded from the 0.00000158 level in early April, surging to 0.000001745 on April 13, with trading volumes rising sharply. This indicates a renewed influx of short-term capital into high-risk sectors, with market sentiment shifting markedly from caution to optimism.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Bitcoin repeatedly tested the $75,000 level, resulting in increased volatility under the negative gamma effect. On April 16, CAT surged to 0.000002112 amid high volume, closely mirroring the intense long-short battle at Bitcoin’s major resistance point. A swift pullback followed, with CAT dropping to 0.000001963—a correction of nearly 6%—reflecting accelerated shifts in derivatives market sentiment and a significant rise in short-term volatility risks.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

On the daily chart, after pulling back from its peak, CAT has repeatedly stabilized in the 0.00000175–0.00000170 range, with trading volumes receding synchronously, showing a classic base-building pattern. If this range holds, further support is at around 0.00000165. In the mid-term, CAT is likely to continue fluctuating within the 0.00000179–0.00000184 range, with potential inflection points following a breakout worth watching.

AI trading strategies and institutional investments continue to gain momentum, poised to provide new liquidity nodes for altcoins. Industry reports note that several AI trading systems have achieved remarkable gains recently, boosting participant confidence. Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs and increased corporate holdings are reinforcing long-term demand for crypto assets, offering marginal benefits to CAT as risk appetite recovers.

Insiders: The Bank of Japan is inclined not to raise interest rates in April but will maintain a tightening stance.

EUR/USD: Foreign inflows support upside potential – ING

Summary of Wash's Past Statements: How Will This Prospective "New Leader" Disrupt the Federal Reserve?

Gold: Inflation and Fed risks cap upside – ING

ECB: Lagarde Signals No Near-Term Rate Move – Danske Bank

Nikkei: Bank of Japan to hold rates steady in April

Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Vows Fed Independence Despite Trump’s Push for Rate Cuts

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has reached 100%.

US Treasuries are still pricing in a war in the Middle East that other asset classes have shrugged off, setting up a drop in yields as they catch up, according to Bank of America.

Lagarde: Broad fiscal support will force the European Central Bank to raise key interest rates.

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